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Contxto – “Never let a good crisis go to waste.” It’s a cliché as old as time, but it tends to be best used by those freshest of innovators and newest of technologies. (So, I wouldn’t blame you if you needed pre-Covid blockchain refresher before diving into its specificities in Latin America).
Blockchain is not exactly “new”. The system of decentralized, public ledgers of online transactions—a fancy way of saying globally verifiable lists of evolving data—was assigned almost providential value due to its inalterability.
This claim, alongside the emergence of Bitcoin—a blockchain-based crypto-currency—was like a soothing psychological balm to millions in the aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis.
Now, barely a decade later, in our own current day meltdown, blockchain emerges yet again from the rubble. But this technology is far more sophisticated and developed nowadays, stretching way beyond cryptocurrencies.
It’s not that the concept of blockchain itself has been reinvented. Rather, humans have assimilated it and are using it for ever more unimaginable uses.
The problem is, these novel deployments of blockchain are often so disruptive to the status quo that vested interests. Governments, companies, societies are often loth to implement them.
Covid, blockchain, and Latin America
That was until Covid turned the status quo on its head.
Now, a pandemic has fatally undermined weak legacy systems and institutions across the world, but particularly in structurally unstable Latin America, opening up a space for blockchain technology and for the startups that deploy blockchain-based solutions.
The question is: Will Latin America’s be able to strike the right balance? Will the fall of weak systems open the way to massive blockchain adoption? Or will it undermine the very systems that blockchain needs to operate?
The answer is as diverse as the uses of blockchain itself, and is dependent not so much on the tech, but to the degree to which each sector will have to be disrupted. Yet, broadly, solutions deploying this technology will broadly form part of three categories:
- Accelerated adoption of an already widely available solution
- Shift from nice-to-have to must-have solution
- A solution that could make things a lot better… But it probably won’t happen (yet)
Accelerated blockchain adoption: Old tech, new world
Cryptocurrencies have long been the hallmark of blockchain technology. The oldest is over 10 years old. Yet, the debate rages on as to whether crypto can, or even should be, a feasible alternative to government emitted money.
Many Latin Americans have skipped out on this debate altogether. Those with US dollars or euros stashed safely in their bank accounts argue about the philosophy of value regarding Bitcoin and Ethereum; Latam is working from experience.
Latin America sees stability in crypto
The debate in Latam isn’t whether cryptos are a stable source of value. I mean, look at that graph above, those are some massive fluctuations!
Rather, the calculus is whether betting on crypto is more likely to retain value in the medium- to long-term. And again, the graph shows that, indeed, putting your money in BTC at the beginning of the pandemic would and cashing out from May onwards would have been far better in every single case regarding every major Latin American currency.
Let’s just hope you didn’t need you cash in your Bitcoin in mid-March…
Startups have, for a long time, been making the most of this calculated risk in the extreme case of Venezuela. These crypto-companies set an interesting—if radical—precedent to what can be done to preserve value through crypto in the face of a devaluing national currency.
Crypto-exchanges—founded by Venezuelans but based out of the US or Panama— that move capital in and out of Venezuela are thriving.
Meanwhile, Colombia-based Valiu added crypto-dollar value to remittances in Venezuela. Even the Venezuelan government has instituted its own cryptocurrency, the Petro, but with dubious success.
The case is thus clear. Blockchain will fill the void where institutions fail. However, when they fail catastrophically, like in Venezuela, the entrepreneurial infrastructure is not there to provide companies the space to grow their solutions.
Constant blackouts, tenuous rule of law, and hyperinflation cannot support a healthy, diverse, and thriving startup ecosystem—even for crypto.
Social distancing with crypto
However, beyond value storage and extreme cases, Covid-19 has imposed a new reality on how we handle our money.
Argentina, for instance, controls its citizens’ dollar transactions in order to prevent capital flight and further devaluation. The result has been a massive black market that trades dollars for the real value of the Argentine peso.
But now, physical cash is a risk with a contagious virus going around, so crypto is even better poised to gain an upper hand.
In a region that has little trust in government, but wants tangible assets in a world where physical cash is an issue, crypto-currency has a clearer opening than ever to permeate the Latin American market.
Transition to blockchain: New tech, new world
Next, let’s take a look at the verticals and solutions that—just like crypto—existed, but—unlike crypto—weren’t considered for wide adoption any time soon… Until the pandemic. Welcome to the socially distanced economy.
Blockchain in essential services
The World Health Organization has recently and for obvious reasons made blockchain a priority. They are specifically working on a blockchain ledger that keeps track of transmission rates for Covid-19 worldwide.
However, the pandemic has put a strain on the health system far beyond the virus itself. And this is where Latin American startups have stepped into the breach. The companies have brought with them blockchain technology to make all processes safer and more efficient. Especially useful in a region with already lacking health services.
In Mexico, a startup called Prescrypto developed RexChain. This is a blockchain network where doctors can import or export clinical data for prescriptions in a private and confidential way.
Meanwhile, in Costa Rica, lockdown restrictions have been causing a shortage of blood donations. To tackle this pressing issue, Lifebank has created an app. Through blockchain technology, it can help communities link up eligible donors, community donation centers, and participating local businesses.
Solutions like these are Covid tangential, but in the short-term, they help to ease the strain on health services. In the long-term—with the costs of the tech and hardware sunk, and the friction to adoption overcome—, they can continue to benefit the region.
Indeed, Latin America may even leapfrog past previously unadopted health solutions along the way.
The pandemic has seen a boom for remote learning and edtech solutions. However, when it comes to blockchain the bounds of remote education are taken even further.
As schools have adapted to socially distanced learning environments, elements tangential to education are also getting a digital reboot. No bureaucratic form is perhaps more important in early life than a student’s academic record.
OS City in Mexico is on the case. This startup worked through UNICEF Innovation Fund’s accelerator program and its CryptoFund, as well as Ethereum’s blockchain, to create a digital certificate platform and register children’s educational diplomas.
I mean, what’s the point of keeping away from everyone all year if, at the end of the semester, you have to pick up a piece of paper at a school office? It’s either that, risk it getting lost through an already stretched postal system, or an untamperable blockchain diploma.
Latin America’s primary and export sectors
The pandemic has triggered an economic recession that has been keenly felt in the primary sector. As economies stall, so too does trading for raw materials. This is terrible news for Latin American countries that depend disproportionately on the m
ining and agricultural sectors.
Chile’s dependency on mining is clear. It has fluctuated between 8 and 15 percent as a portion of GDP over the past 10 years. For Peru, this number stands at 10 percent of GDP, but 60 percent of the country’s foreign exports. Argentina is in a similar position regarding agriculture.
These countries can’t afford to just give up on production—especially as they increase public spending, efficiency becomes paramount—. Therefore, both in terms of tax collection and production, efficiency is now an absolute must in export dependent Latam.
Remember when mining didn’t mean machines solving equations to create crypto-currencies?
Apparently people still do it the old fashioned way. Well, not anymore. Blockchain is speeding things up. Both in terms of production, but also getting to previously unprofitable mines whilst making them less of an environmental hazard.
Because mining is so massive, companies have been able to team up with international tech giants. This was already speeding up the adoption process even before the pandemic.
This is what happened in Peru. Google joined with Minsur—a multinational mining company—to launch a blockchain pilot project. Together they make tin mines better and more sustainable.
Agriculture and food
Food is a tricky one when it comes to Covid-19. The virus has taught us how important it is to know where our food comes from.
Diseases from livestock—not only wild and exotic game—can constitute a major health concern. With that in mind, the traceability that blockchain offers can help stakeholders keep tabs on where sketchy meat comes from.
That is exactly what Argentina’s Carnes Validadas hopes todo by adding more transparency and traceability to the meat supply. In other words, effectively documenting the process of beef from the farm to your plate.
Of course, getting all these products to their final destination is often where the biggest inefficiencies lie; particularly in a world gone blind with home office working and shut down borders.
Yet again, the unalterable and traceable nature of blockchain can save the day when it comes to the import-export industry.
Brazil has brought in some innovative changes to its customs operations in 2020. The country’s national tax authority, the Receita Federal, launched a blockchain project to assist in three key areas in the customs and exportation proceedings: security, identity verification, and cost management.
The best solutions are always regional.
Best-case blockchain: New tech, old interests
And then there’s the Establishment. Sometimes it isn’t about how innovative the technology is, but rather the vested interests one must get over to implement the solutions.
When it comes to legal systems and government regulation—sectors that would be massively benefitted from the use of blockchain—change will be hard, but not impossible, to come by.
Rebuilding institutions after Covid
Government spending waste costs Latin America and Caribbean 4.4 percent of GDP, according to an IDB study. Inefficiencies and fraud in procurement could be as large as US$220 billion a year.
As discussed above, scarce times are not the moment to be wasteful, but this is exactly what corruption and bloated bureaucracy is.
A ECLAC report’s verdict regarding the fiscal effects of the pandemic in Latin America is not heartening:
- Limited fiscal space, as a result of persistent deficits and rising public debt in the years prior to the crisis;
- Lower fiscal revenues on account of the decline in economic activity and falling commodity prices;
- Substantial short-term public spending requirements aimed at strengthening health systems, protecting the population’s well-being and maintaining employment; and
- Tighter financial conditions, which will result in higher financing costs for public expenditure requirements.
Blockchain vs corruption
However, not all is lost. Before the pandemic, Latin Americans were slowly looking towards blockchain technology as a way to curb corruption.
Regulation of blockchain is a question of political will.
Indeed, Costa Rica, often at the vanguard, now allows employers to pay their staff in crypto. The Inter-American Development Bank (CAF) believes this may be a future driver of govtech and reducer of corruption.
Colombia’s government has also been looking into Ethereum-based solutions to combat corrupt practices.
In Brazil, traditional notary services are slowly being replaced by blockchain with the help of OriginalMy.com. This startup uses blockchain technology to register documents and verify authenticity/identity.
But there’s no use declaring victory just yet.
Right before the pandemic hit the region, the government in Buenos Aires suspended the country’s blockchain project for registering new companies. As of the second week of March, the blockchain project was said to be put on hold for an estimated 180 days. We’re still waiting…
Go big or go home, literally
Now, I don’t want to leave you on a dour note. Because, not only is there hope, but there is lots of space for govtech and legaltech blockchain action. The key is to see where and how to best implement it.
So far, there are two approaches successfully implementing blockchain governance across the region:
The first is to try to implement governmental use of blockchain via local solutions. The second it to go big and get transnational organizations to do the implementation for you.
On the localist front, we can see how startup OS City has been using blockchain and artificial intelligence to create a more efficient public transport system by digitizing passenger data in Teresina, Brazil.
In its native Argentina, Koibanx cooperated with the municipal government of Marcos Paz and developed a payment system over the RSK network. Now, neighbors and local businesses can exchange goods and services through the platform.
Meanwhile, on the transnational front, we have seen how blockchain titles could change the power dynamic in Bolivia, Peru, and Paraguay via the “Distributed Ledger Technology (Blockchain): The Future of Land Titling and Registry”. This is a project supported by the IDB and Swedish blockchain firm, ChromaWay.
And then there is an initiative launched late last year. Inter-American Development Bank sunk US$600,000 to help small Mexican farmers through blockchain. Tellingly, the financing of small farmers in Chiapas state using blockchain technology was handled by the Spanish startup, EthicHub.
A lack of trust in local institutions perhaps? Or an admission that blockchain management solutions in Latam are not quite there yet?
The post-Covid future of blockchain in Latin America is down to evangelists
The three levels of blockchain adoption explored above have something in common across the board:
Blockchain is being implemented or accelerated by the impersonal forces of a global pandemic. This, though not surprising in itself, does raise the question as to why such a vaunted bit of tech needed a global cataclysm to really get going?
The answer is actually pretty pathetic:
Never has a technology with so much promise been explained so badly by so many.
This, I’m afraid, is the main reason I can discern to explain why a technology with such breadth of use and depth of promise has been around for over a decade and is not completely mainstream yet.
It is a tech that is heavily dependent on widespread adoption (decentralized ledgers) and yet people—including those who specialize in tech—still struggle with the details.
Before the blockchain revolution can ever kick-off, its evangelists need to actually start evangelizing to the masses and not just to each other.
Covid-19 has wrought destruction, but also opened up an opportunity: Blockchain fanatics in Latam best not let this crisis go to waste.